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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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that's what rasmussen has been saying, what gallup has been saying. that's not the whole poll. on those pocketbook related issues. >> no doubt. i will concede the polls showed a couple things contradictory, public opinion polls. romney led on the issue of the economy but they also showed that on the issue of -- who was leading there, that it was pretty much tied, 48/48. >> i'm spendi in-- on spending, deficits romney had all the advantages. they are dear to my heart. interestingly even though i'm a tax cutting reagan supply cut sider the tax cuts didn't poll well. in the battleground poll i was told today for the first time romney took a small two-point lead in the battleground poll on the question of tax cuts. tax cuts doesn't play as much as spending cuts. i thought you might be interested in that. >> i think you're right. if these dynamics start showing up in the exit polls that the fiscal side of the equation is running high on the list, i think that gives us a good indication. >> no doubt about it. want to bring in brian sullivan at democracy plaza in new york city. we hav
that's what rasmussen has been saying, what gallup has been saying. that's not the whole poll. on those pocketbook related issues. >> no doubt. i will concede the polls showed a couple things contradictory, public opinion polls. romney led on the issue of the economy but they also showed that on the issue of -- who was leading there, that it was pretty much tied, 48/48. >> i'm spendi in-- on spending, deficits romney had all the advantages. they are dear to my heart. interestingly...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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rasmussen says he has no idea and it pains him to say that. megyn: ask a different person we'll get a different answer. tonight woeulee know. you know how it works at fox. we'll have a meeting, the exit poll people, the decision desk will tell us how it's looking so far. we can't share all that we know with the slewers when we go on the air at 6:00pm for special coverage. we don't share that information until the polls close, 7, 7:30 and so on. we'll know a lot when the broadcast begins at 6:00pm eastern. and virginia is the first state to close, the first big swing state if that is decided significantly one way or the other, but especially if it goes blue. bill: it will be a good night for one man or the other. megyn: if it goes blue it will be very hard for romney to make it. if it goes reddit will tell us something about the election threat. bill: watch 7:30, that's when chicago closes. megyn: what is this kaj a hoag georgia county. why does anybody care? people in new york don't care. bill: i will tell you later. check out "america live" 1
rasmussen says he has no idea and it pains him to say that. megyn: ask a different person we'll get a different answer. tonight woeulee know. you know how it works at fox. we'll have a meeting, the exit poll people, the decision desk will tell us how it's looking so far. we can't share all that we know with the slewers when we go on the air at 6:00pm for special coverage. we don't share that information until the polls close, 7, 7:30 and so on. we'll know a lot when the broadcast begins at...
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Nov 6, 2012
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according to a new rasmussen poll. i also think romney could win in colorado. but obama looks to have nevada locked up despite the awful unemployment situation in that state. our pal larry sabato teaches at the university of virginia is predicting an obama win, 290 electoral votes to romney's 248 if obama -- if obama is the winner, that tally sounds about right. but carl rove sees it the opposite way. mr. rove will be here in a moment. of course dick morris continues to maintain that romney will win big. carrying pennsylvania and ohio, which would assure a romney victory. both morris and sabato will be on this program wednesday. again, i cannot make a prediction tonight. it pains pee. i don't like it. but i have to be honest. i can't do it. because even at this late date, some americans could still vote either way. both candidates still have a fighting chance. and that's the memo. next on the run down. the aforementioned carl rove will tell me how tragically wrong i am or something. and then, krauthammer, hume, powers, march will all weighen in n. on the fact t
according to a new rasmussen poll. i also think romney could win in colorado. but obama looks to have nevada locked up despite the awful unemployment situation in that state. our pal larry sabato teaches at the university of virginia is predicting an obama win, 290 electoral votes to romney's 248 if obama -- if obama is the winner, that tally sounds about right. but carl rove sees it the opposite way. mr. rove will be here in a moment. of course dick morris continues to maintain that romney...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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you look the at the national polls, rasmussen and others had romney ahead by three, four points. the beginning of last week. that's now zero, that's how a dead heat and the battle ground states been a bit of an edge for obama. clearly it's clear why. the commander gets to of play commander-in-chief and the bear hug by the chief of new jersey, famously pugnacious, bare hugging the cooperation, and which has been obama's weakness. you can't purchase that publicity and obama had it free for three days with romney shut out and i think it accounts for the race. and i think it wears off by today, tomorrow, and do you see the inadequacy of the government assistance and i think it washes out and in the last hours, you'll got a return of the romney momentum particularly because, as we heard from chris and brit, romney has gone large at the very end while obama remains small, negative, and sort of counter punching at a time when you'd expect him to play president. >> megyn: charles, on that front, president obama made a comment the other day saying, don't boo, they were booing mitt romney'
you look the at the national polls, rasmussen and others had romney ahead by three, four points. the beginning of last week. that's now zero, that's how a dead heat and the battle ground states been a bit of an edge for obama. clearly it's clear why. the commander gets to of play commander-in-chief and the bear hug by the chief of new jersey, famously pugnacious, bare hugging the cooperation, and which has been obama's weakness. you can't purchase that publicity and obama had it free for three...
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the rasmussen reports daily tracking poll has the race at 48%. the abc washington post tracking poll shows the governor taking a one point lead after trailing by one yesterday. those of the two most recent national polls. and while the polls are tight, they are not always accurate or indicative of the of come. either candidate could win tis election by a sizable margin, if you consider a sizable margin to be two or 3 percent, perhaps, regardless of what these polls are saying today. one group or demographic,like independent voters, could swing the election in the waning hours of the campaign. and what should worry the obama campaign with their race so tight that you can hear is quilt is not the unraveling cover-up on been gauzy or a bust response to a major east coast hurricane. what should worry the obama campaign is that this race is all about the economy, his record, and responsibility where the unemployment rate and in this economic recovery now stand. voters simply trust governor romney more on this most important issue. let's reveal -- that
the rasmussen reports daily tracking poll has the race at 48%. the abc washington post tracking poll shows the governor taking a one point lead after trailing by one yesterday. those of the two most recent national polls. and while the polls are tight, they are not always accurate or indicative of the of come. either candidate could win tis election by a sizable margin, if you consider a sizable margin to be two or 3 percent, perhaps, regardless of what these polls are saying today. one group...
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Nov 6, 2012
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if this is going to be a close vote, that is, if almost all the polls from gallup and rasmussen to the "the washington post," and abc and fox and the rest if the polls are right they have to think tight or plus one for one or the other so you expect virginia to rein equity that close margin. >>neil: in ohio the first numbers we get reported from ohio are those who voted early, right? so that could give maybe not entirely realistic view of what will ultimate get out of he but do you think whoever wins there has to be significantly beyond the margin of provisional balloting recount? in other words, it is 100,000 voters? 200,000 voters? what would clear the way for lawyers to stand away? >>guest: well, nothing clears the way for lawyers. >>neil: that is true. >>guest: if there is one single machine that malfunctioning you can be sure that it will be surrounded by 60 players and wrestled to the ground. but i have my own inhouse ohio expert and he knows ohio politics very well. he tolls me that maybe 100,000 votes would be a comfortable margin for one candidate and he also suggests that bec
if this is going to be a close vote, that is, if almost all the polls from gallup and rasmussen to the "the washington post," and abc and fox and the rest if the polls are right they have to think tight or plus one for one or the other so you expect virginia to rein equity that close margin. >>neil: in ohio the first numbers we get reported from ohio are those who voted early, right? so that could give maybe not entirely realistic view of what will ultimate get out of he but do...
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. >> steve: speaking of the polls, i just saw twitter, scott rasmussen's final poll, national tracking poll, the president is -- mitt romney is ahead of the president by one. of course, today is the day that historically benefits republicans. this is a day republicans go out. not only do they go out to vote, but they are so motivated because so many people have told me, i'm going to vote because i have got to save america. i've heard people say that. >> i think that's right. i think a lot of people vote because we don't like the direction the country is going in. 60% of the country doesn't. number two, i think back to the media point, i think a lot of people are just so tired of media figures, probably me included, telling them how it vote. it's like look, i want my say. this is my country, too. let me cast the ballot for whomever i think will do the best job for me, my family, and the country overall. i think people are tired of being dictated to by the american media. i think in the end, we'll find out which pollster was correct, whether it's rasmussen, we'll see which polls were mor
. >> steve: speaking of the polls, i just saw twitter, scott rasmussen's final poll, national tracking poll, the president is -- mitt romney is ahead of the president by one. of course, today is the day that historically benefits republicans. this is a day republicans go out. not only do they go out to vote, but they are so motivated because so many people have told me, i'm going to vote because i have got to save america. i've heard people say that. >> i think that's right. i think...
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i felt as though there was 50-50. 50% of the rasmussen polls showed they don't want to hear it. so i thought -- >> steve: i was looking at the triple people. they were overwhelmingly in favor. >> brian: they're always skewed. >> gretchen: this may come as good news or bad news, if you really loved your political junky and you want this to keep going on. but the election is tomorrow and we have phil keating in the about the battle ground state of florida. first, let's go to john roberts in columbus, ohio, the state that may decide it all. good morning to you, john. >> yeah. it comes down to ohio just about every four years. that's true again this year. the last day of early voting just getting underway in ohio. 1.6 million people cast ballots. democrats currently have about a six-point advantage in early voting here. but the romney campaign says the president is underperforming compared to 2008. the state florida, a lot of early votes have come in. the democrats have a narrow advantage. but we should point out it is about half of what it was in 2008. no question, though. if goff
i felt as though there was 50-50. 50% of the rasmussen polls showed they don't want to hear it. so i thought -- >> steve: i was looking at the triple people. they were overwhelmingly in favor. >> brian: they're always skewed. >> gretchen: this may come as good news or bad news, if you really loved your political junky and you want this to keep going on. but the election is tomorrow and we have phil keating in the about the battle ground state of florida. first, let's go to...
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within the rasmussen margin of error. even the ground game to get out the vote looks like a tossup. the latest pew research study says across the country obama campaign reached 11% of likely voters. only 10% for the romney campaign. look at the swing state. the romney campaign has an edge to reach 14% of likely voters, only 13 from the obama camp. >> bret: carl, thank you. president obama switching things up a bit. for the final push. chief white house correspondent ed henry is with the president in las vegas. >> wardrobe change for president obama. flashing a bomber jacket from air force one to remind even he is still commander-in-chief for now. and while aides are also promising a change in message, with a new more positive tone in his final case -- >> our fight goes on because we know this nation cannot succeed. without a growing, thying middle class. >> he is still going negative on romney with the campaign today charging the republican would be rubber stamp for the right wing. >> he is saying he is the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change l
within the rasmussen margin of error. even the ground game to get out the vote looks like a tossup. the latest pew research study says across the country obama campaign reached 11% of likely voters. only 10% for the romney campaign. look at the swing state. the romney campaign has an edge to reach 14% of likely voters, only 13 from the obama camp. >> bret: carl, thank you. president obama switching things up a bit. for the final push. chief white house correspondent ed henry is with the...
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remember some of these averages include polls from biased sources, rasmussen and public policy polling but there is nobody i'd rather to speak to than the one woman who can make sense of all of this an tell us how it's going to play out tomorrow lynn la lake, penalty of the democratic consulting firm lake research partners. she joins us from washington d.c. linda, it is like christmas eve for political junkies. >> it's great to be here. you're right, it is christmas eve for those pollsters. >> it is so fun. how do you feel about tomorrow? >> i feel cautiously optimistic, but i think you had the most important story. we cannot let this election be stolen by people throwing voters away and throwing voters out. it's an outrage what's going on in states like florida and ohio. >> it is, and it's a marginal amount. if ohio is insisting on 300,000 people using provisional ballots and setting you will hurdles all of that makes a difference. what early results might predict who wins, what are you going to be watching? >> so the first state i'm going to be watching is virginia, which closes at 7
remember some of these averages include polls from biased sources, rasmussen and public policy polling but there is nobody i'd rather to speak to than the one woman who can make sense of all of this an tell us how it's going to play out tomorrow lynn la lake, penalty of the democratic consulting firm lake research partners. she joins us from washington d.c. linda, it is like christmas eve for political junkies. >> it's great to be here. you're right, it is christmas eve for those...
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larry sabato pollster scott rasmussen. scott, what surprised you the most last night. >> the thing that surprised me the most was how precisely the obama campaign projected the white turnout. that was decisive. mitt romney got nearly 6 out of 10 white voters. most people thought that the obama campaign was being wildly optimistic that they could get the minority turnout to 28% of the vote but they did just what they said. >> bill: they got it to 28%. is that what it was in 2008? >> no, it was 26%. >> bill: they actually under their quo tent. >> under their quotient. not just the latino voters which you mentioned in the talking points memo but also they got young people to the polls. >> bill: youngsters didn't go for obama the way they did in 2008. he didn't get as many -- >> -- the story here is they did show up in bigger numbers and seniors did not. seniors were much more favorable towards mitt romney. basically the obama campaign knew who they had to get to the polls and they got them out. >> bill: did that surprise you,
larry sabato pollster scott rasmussen. scott, what surprised you the most last night. >> the thing that surprised me the most was how precisely the obama campaign projected the white turnout. that was decisive. mitt romney got nearly 6 out of 10 white voters. most people thought that the obama campaign was being wildly optimistic that they could get the minority turnout to 28% of the vote but they did just what they said. >> bill: they got it to 28%. is that what it was in 2008?...
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rasmussen said we were almost always ahead. we have to shatter that. and finally we've got to form the operative class of the republican party. we've had two presidential elections now that were strategic train wrecks. we've lost the ability to know how to appeal beyond our base mechanically. it's time for a shakeup. we used to be better than the democrats. they're now better than us. just like this israeli army, it's time for brutal honesty inside our party. >> you've just given us a nice conversation to kick off. mr. murphy i will talk to you down the road. hello, panel. sara, how about that brutal honesty about the operative class? well, you at least get to say hey i was on you''04. >> i was on '04. >> how right was he? i go back to the same question. who lost this election mitt romney or the republican party? >> he's right. they're interlinked. but, you know, mitt romney in many ways was a bridge candidate to a changing republican party. you look at the deep bench of chris christie, paul ryan, marco rubio, ted cruz, susana martinez. it feels really
rasmussen said we were almost always ahead. we have to shatter that. and finally we've got to form the operative class of the republican party. we've had two presidential elections now that were strategic train wrecks. we've lost the ability to know how to appeal beyond our base mechanically. it's time for a shakeup. we used to be better than the democrats. they're now better than us. just like this israeli army, it's time for brutal honesty inside our party. >> you've just given us a...
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we're looking at rasmussen and that is within the margin of error. even the wall street journal will be nbc news poll. is there a big collective question mark tonight? >> there is. most interesting to me, tom, is if you speak to the insiders and i know you do, ones from both sides believe they're going to genuinely win this. both sides seem to think we have a shot in ohio. obviously, republicans don't believe that is they can win without ohio and they handle they're going to win this tomorrow. if we're that close, we're in for days ahead. once you're past pennsylvania, northern virginia, it's northern virginia going for romney, well, you know, there is a chance this could be a very long night and if ohio goes for romney, it could be a long day. >> they talk about the october surprises and clearly, no one was expecting hurricane sandy and going to be where it was. where do you factor hurricane sandy in this race now? was this the october surprise we look out for and did it help the president? >> if they do lose, sounds like if a lot of them are going
we're looking at rasmussen and that is within the margin of error. even the wall street journal will be nbc news poll. is there a big collective question mark tonight? >> there is. most interesting to me, tom, is if you speak to the insiders and i know you do, ones from both sides believe they're going to genuinely win this. both sides seem to think we have a shot in ohio. obviously, republicans don't believe that is they can win without ohio and they handle they're going to win this...
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i point out two of the polls that came out today, rasmussen has romney up by one. gallup has romney up by one. the james carville rule is incumbents get the last poll. that would mean a 51-48 or 52-48 victory because in both those cases, you had obama at 48%. i think it's actually probably bigger than that. my personal guess is 53-47 or more. but secondly, let's look at what happened in new jersey and new york. i think if the vote had been on friday, obama peaked on friday out of sympathy and now we've had saturday and sunday for people and now all day monday for people to realize, remember, the government that is failing on staten island is the government obama wants to deliver health care. so i think you are going to see a lot of people vote against a failed government as they watch the mess in the northeast. >> mr. speaker, it's been great talking to you for the last 18 months or so. we've had a lot of ups and downs but it's been always entertaining and interesting. i wish you and your party all the very best tomorrow night. >> thank you. >>> coming up, one of t
i point out two of the polls that came out today, rasmussen has romney up by one. gallup has romney up by one. the james carville rule is incumbents get the last poll. that would mean a 51-48 or 52-48 victory because in both those cases, you had obama at 48%. i think it's actually probably bigger than that. my personal guess is 53-47 or more. but secondly, let's look at what happened in new jersey and new york. i think if the vote had been on friday, obama peaked on friday out of sympathy and...
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there has been only one poll, rasmussen poll that showed romney leading there and others show him behind? >> i'm not sure how confident i am. when you are making predictions in close states. you can't be confident to be correct. i said in my article i'm fully i may be wrong in some states. that is where enthusiasm can make a difference. we know that rom is not well as running as well with white non-college voters. but there is something we saw on fox news as election returns were coming in and that is increased turnout in small town, rural voters, evangelical voters that won the state for george w. bush even though john kerry got his margins that he wanted out of the big central cities and out of the university and college towns. i think that is factor that hasn't been studied much by reporters but a lot of people have been active on the ground and the crowd of the fire marshal estimated 30,000 on friday was a good indicator of strong enthusiasm. barack obama drew fewer people in ohio than john mccain drew four years ago. >> megyn: charlie cook says its tough road for romney on electoral
there has been only one poll, rasmussen poll that showed romney leading there and others show him behind? >> i'm not sure how confident i am. when you are making predictions in close states. you can't be confident to be correct. i said in my article i'm fully i may be wrong in some states. that is where enthusiasm can make a difference. we know that rom is not well as running as well with white non-college voters. but there is something we saw on fox news as election returns were coming...
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gallup, rasmussen, abc, washington post, pew all have the race moving three to four points in his direction. he was doing well in the electoral college. i think democrats are confident. turn out has been up today. feel like a lot of folks are voting which is good for the democrats, there's been a lot of early votes. we go into election day feeling good. jon: wait a minute i thought that traditionally republicans tend to turn out in bigger numbers on election day. matt, what about that, if turn out is big today is that good for democrats or republicans. >> i think you'll see a big get out the vote effort from republicans. i think we'll have great numbers. as a matter of fact even on the early vote, jon which democrats have tend towed dominate this republican team has really done a much better job having the democratic advantage in states like ohio. so i think what we're going to see today is a great republican turn out. i think we can make it simple for your viewers. there's been a lot of talk about the polls and the numbers and the demographics and the samples. it's going to come down to oh
gallup, rasmussen, abc, washington post, pew all have the race moving three to four points in his direction. he was doing well in the electoral college. i think democrats are confident. turn out has been up today. feel like a lot of folks are voting which is good for the democrats, there's been a lot of early votes. we go into election day feeling good. jon: wait a minute i thought that traditionally republicans tend to turn out in bigger numbers on election day. matt, what about that, if turn...
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here to tell us is scott rasmussen. good to see you. >> good to see you. >> sean: let's go to first of all, 52-47 the battleground poll or your poll which today is two or three for romney. >> president has been around 47% ever since the first debate. president is trailing consistently among ins. different polls assign independents different ways but we see the independent voters leaning in romney's direction. >> sean: you and gallup, i watch you guys the most. we have battleground which i think is a credible poll. they have him up by five. it stayed that way for a while. do you see it going into election day? >> yes. the race changed after the if you are debate. president obama was ahead and 98% voters didn't change their mind but 2% switched in favor of homicidal. who is actually going to show up and vote is the question. our model suggests there will be 2% more democrats nationwide than republicans. that is not be quite as good as 2004. if that holds, it's going to be very close election, probably slight edge with gov
here to tell us is scott rasmussen. good to see you. >> good to see you. >> sean: let's go to first of all, 52-47 the battleground poll or your poll which today is two or three for romney. >> president has been around 47% ever since the first debate. president is trailing consistently among ins. different polls assign independents different ways but we see the independent voters leaning in romney's direction. >> sean: you and gallup, i watch you guys the most. we have...
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i want to give you the latest rasmussen report. i'm going to repeat this because this is the daily presidential tracking poll released moments ago. this is very important because it's the latest poll available. president obama 48-romney 49. and that suggests that at this very late hour, literally on election eve. there may be some momentum returning to mitt romney. not sure about that, but it's 49-48 romney in a rasmussen poll. let's go to apple, i think they're what, ten bucks higher, nicole. >> it's off the highs and still doing well with an up arrow. it turns out the weekend was really successful for apple and ipads, including the ipad mini where tim cook, the ceo noted that the initial iman exceeded the original supply and they're boosting production and in order to meet the demand and it was a record launch weekend, et cetera, et cetera. stuart: okay. >> so you knew that, you now that apple spiel and so far-- >> it was up ten bucks earlier and now less than six. and nicole, thank you very much indeed. california we've said it
i want to give you the latest rasmussen report. i'm going to repeat this because this is the daily presidential tracking poll released moments ago. this is very important because it's the latest poll available. president obama 48-romney 49. and that suggests that at this very late hour, literally on election eve. there may be some momentum returning to mitt romney. not sure about that, but it's 49-48 romney in a rasmussen poll. let's go to apple, i think they're what, ten bucks higher, nicole....
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he was interviewed and said about rasmussen. he's lost a lot of credibility, as far as i'm concerned. he did a lot of surveys. a lot of those surveys were wrong. nate, my question to you, is there going to be a price to pay in reputation fo rasmussen? >> i think so. when you underestimate the strength of aon being off by a few points. i think it's fine when it's three points but when you do 20 polls and all show obama doing worse by three. that's the case of rasmussen, who has an unorthodox system. they don't sample cell phone voters. there's just -- there are too different areas that could have been causing the errors. for when the error comes in to say, well, that makes sense. maybe that's not and we should take as seriously in the future. >> unorthodox is as smackdownx: my friend nate will deliver. stay tuned for the next block as we had to see what s.e. did because she t a week after superstorm sandy there's a nor'easter bearing down on the new york area right now. take a look at the scene from the top of the rock where high
he was interviewed and said about rasmussen. he's lost a lot of credibility, as far as i'm concerned. he did a lot of surveys. a lot of those surveys were wrong. nate, my question to you, is there going to be a price to pay in reputation fo rasmussen? >> i think so. when you underestimate the strength of aon being off by a few points. i think it's fine when it's three points but when you do 20 polls and all show obama doing worse by three. that's the case of rasmussen, who has an...
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rasmussen has 50/46 nrg has set at one. obama's stopped and ohio everyday trying to get that 18 votes although romney shows a 2.eight. we will examine all of the members tonight. we have joe trip the special assistant to george to the bush, rahm christi. fox news uncovers the smoking gun with the benghazi cover up. does it lead to the oval office? we have to be miller and dr. walid phares. and the subjects you may have noticed. but joining us now be have former special assistant to george w. bush, christie and joe, a race is separated one-tenth of 1%. >> is a dead heat national the list fascinating is we talk about the ground game since april and it may decide this more importantly one candidate the but the win all of them or none of them are split equally and be up for several days to figure out. lou: to whom is you give momentum? or are they add tae? >> good evening. if i give an indicator to momentum as governor romney. listen to the stump speech not only today but he is very optimistic and upbeat have the will turn thin
rasmussen has 50/46 nrg has set at one. obama's stopped and ohio everyday trying to get that 18 votes although romney shows a 2.eight. we will examine all of the members tonight. we have joe trip the special assistant to george to the bush, rahm christi. fox news uncovers the smoking gun with the benghazi cover up. does it lead to the oval office? we have to be miller and dr. walid phares. and the subjects you may have noticed. but joining us now be have former special assistant to george w....
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Nov 24, 2012
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so, let's bring in scott rasmussen, and rasmussen reports. he just won the election. >> he's gotten a bounce, 50% job approval on election day. up 4 points now. 95% of democrats think he's doing, and republican aren't impressed. >> 87% disapprove. it's more than just the job approval rating. right now 41% of voters tell us the country is headed in the right direction, about as high as it's been during president obama's time in office. >> you know, scott, there's a big debate on capitol hill and across america, some groups saying, look, what we really need to do is just cut spending. other people saying, no, no, no, we just need to hike taxes and you polled folks on that, what did you find. >> 68%, two out of three said we need a combination of tax hikes and spending cuts. two significant things here, first, 52% of republicans agree with that. so a majority of republicans are saying we may need to include tax revenue in this mix. the other thing, voters by a 2-1 margin say when the mix is put together, we want to see more spending cuts than ta
so, let's bring in scott rasmussen, and rasmussen reports. he just won the election. >> he's gotten a bounce, 50% job approval on election day. up 4 points now. 95% of democrats think he's doing, and republican aren't impressed. >> 87% disapprove. it's more than just the job approval rating. right now 41% of voters tell us the country is headed in the right direction, about as high as it's been during president obama's time in office. >> you know, scott, there's a big debate...
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president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going on. ohio, how do you see it? >> i see it really close. if you look at the last four polls, it's one point. 1 through 8 the poll was average four to five points. what we look at is the head-to-head number. the last three consecutive polls, excluding the two you mentioned were at 48. that's a sign of vulnerability. obviously you have seven candidates on the ballot. i think those polls that had the plus four, plus five overs
president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that?...
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Nov 5, 2012
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let's go to the rasmussen report and this is looking at virginia now. they putting it at president obama, 48%. mitt romney at 50% in virginia and this is, this poll, that is within the margin of error. technically, this is a tie. even though the numbers show mitt romney ahead and this is within the margin of error. and there are a ton of them these days. that is real clear politics. we're going to swing to the big screen to take a look at what this is and they take all of the polls they average them and start up here at the top. 48.8 to 48.1 and this is the real clear politics average of all of the polls. right now, they are putting president obama with a razor margin of a lead. and that is a tie. again, we talked about rasmussen reports and this is the national numbers, 48, 49 and they have romney up, and abc washington news post, we talked about that, 57-47% and a couple of others here. nbc news, wall street journal. they have this at 48 to 47 first president. let's look at the trend here over the last couple of days and we'll go here. this is october
let's go to the rasmussen report and this is looking at virginia now. they putting it at president obama, 48%. mitt romney at 50% in virginia and this is, this poll, that is within the margin of error. technically, this is a tie. even though the numbers show mitt romney ahead and this is within the margin of error. and there are a ton of them these days. that is real clear politics. we're going to swing to the big screen to take a look at what this is and they take all of the polls they average...
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scott rasmussen has final polls and a prediction. first our company for the for the hour, former presidential candidate steve forbes and radio host and best-selling author, monica crowley. to you first, you're both conservatives. monica, who is going to win. >> governor romney will win the presidency by three percentage points and over 300 votes. stuart: are you being objective? >> i hope not my wishful thinking. over last month and a half i have been to most of the swing states. the energy is palpable. not something easily to discount. we have momentum on our side. between the economy and mitt romney's message and the fact that people are proactively voting for mitt romney, rather than just against barack obama me as huge deal. stuart: steve forbes, who wins? >> the last election i predicted obama would win by sizable margin. this time it is going to be romney, 3 to 5 points. that means an electoral college landslide. i even did it state by state. 321 to 217. stuart: wait a minute. two conservatives here, both of whom obviously want
scott rasmussen has final polls and a prediction. first our company for the for the hour, former presidential candidate steve forbes and radio host and best-selling author, monica crowley. to you first, you're both conservatives. monica, who is going to win. >> governor romney will win the presidency by three percentage points and over 300 votes. stuart: are you being objective? >> i hope not my wishful thinking. over last month and a half i have been to most of the swing states....
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which was gallup and rasmusse rasmussen. but nonetheless, the state polls were accurate. i give great, great deal of credit to pollsters out there. you did a good job and hit it on the money. when people say you were off and got it wrong. >> eric: you forgot one. fox news was on it as well. they went with d-6 and d-7. everybody said really? >> kimberly: fox news. i'd like to correct you. we have covered all of the polls on this show. as we do. >> greg: many polls. >> dana: ask greg. >> kimberly: polli tabis. >> bob: say this to you. one more thing. ♪ ♪ >> kimberly: time now for one more thing. the election is over but the show has something special. >> bob: i would like to congratulate voters who stood in line, some very close places after the polls closed. you did magnificent job exercising the right to vote. the other thing in the one more thing, eric and i had a bet about this election. in the spirit of bipartisan, i don't think you need to wear this. >> dana: c'mon! looking forward to this all day. >> kimberly: what are you running for office? >> dana: that was th
which was gallup and rasmusse rasmussen. but nonetheless, the state polls were accurate. i give great, great deal of credit to pollsters out there. you did a good job and hit it on the money. when people say you were off and got it wrong. >> eric: you forgot one. fox news was on it as well. they went with d-6 and d-7. everybody said really? >> kimberly: fox news. i'd like to correct you. we have covered all of the polls on this show. as we do. >> greg: many polls. >>...
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and final rasmussen tracking poll with a same plate. 49 for romney, 48 for president. and cnn-orc poll with a sample heavily weighted with democrats showed both then tied at a dead heat, president obama with his last day on campaign trail making one of the most curious accusation of the year, the president accused of stonewalling on benghazi, and response, accused governor romney to wait until after the elect is over to give real answers to the issues. >> refusing to answer questions about your policies, until after the election that is not change. that is oldest gamin the book 992. lou: is it? also a game widely played. but go governor said he is the l candidate of change. >> i mean the question of this election really comes down to this, do the people of america' 4 more years like the last 4 years- or do you wt real change finally? lou: one more day until we decide whether a change of leadership is what we want. expert election analysis predicts with two of the best in business author columnist juan williams, and fox news digital columnist editor chrissy desire walt.
and final rasmussen tracking poll with a same plate. 49 for romney, 48 for president. and cnn-orc poll with a sample heavily weighted with democrats showed both then tied at a dead heat, president obama with his last day on campaign trail making one of the most curious accusation of the year, the president accused of stonewalling on benghazi, and response, accused governor romney to wait until after the elect is over to give real answers to the issues. >> refusing to answer questions...
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so what is rasmussen saying now? yesterday it forecast a dead-heat tie and this morning, rasmussen has romney winning by a single about point, lori? lori: you know, only you could keep up with the numbers the way you spewed them out so fast. that is the point, right? it is like info overload. at end of the day we don't really have a firm grasp of anything. >> i can't figure out why stocks are up 150 points or more. i can't figure out whether it is obama rally or romney rally or i'm so glad it is over rally. lori: glad it's over. a relief rally. dennis, thank you. >> thanks, guys. tracy: well, we have some sort of rally. some are calling it an election day rally. others call it as dennis said, god i'm over it, rally. will the markets go higher? will we see a pullback depending who wins today? >> joining us michael jones, chief investment officer at riverfront investment group. look, michael everyone wants to know what to do with their money and where to put it. let's talk in the short term, short term, regardless who
so what is rasmussen saying now? yesterday it forecast a dead-heat tie and this morning, rasmussen has romney winning by a single about point, lori? lori: you know, only you could keep up with the numbers the way you spewed them out so fast. that is the point, right? it is like info overload. at end of the day we don't really have a firm grasp of anything. >> i can't figure out why stocks are up 150 points or more. i can't figure out whether it is obama rally or romney rally or i'm so...